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FORTHCOMING EVENTS

Stakeholders Consultation
Regional Economic Cooperation in South Asia with a Focus on India-Bangladesh Trade

19 September 2008, Kolkata, West Bengal

 
 

CUTS-Commonwealth Secretariat Session at the WTO Public Forum 2008
The Missing Link between Trade Openness & Poverty Reduction
24 September 2008, Geneva

 
 

CUTS-FES-Evian Group Session at the WTO Public Forum 2008
What Future for Global Economic Governance?
25 September 2008, Geneva

EVENT REPORTS

Stakeholders Consultation
Regional Economic Cooperation in South Asia with a Focus on India-Sri Lanka Trade
21 August, 2008
 Kochi, Kerala

 
 

National Seminar on
Towards a Coherent Trade and Development Strategy of India
24-25 July, 2008

New Delhi

 
 

Training Programme on
Strengthening Skills on Commercial and Economic Diplomacy
 16-19 July, 2008
 Jaipur, India

RESEARCH REPORTS

Trade Liberalisation, Growth and Poverty in Bangladesh

 
 

Is the Stage set for Mainstreaming Trade into National Development Strategy of India?
Results of Field Survey in Two States

 
 

Political Economy of Trade Liberalisation in Bangladesh
Impact of Trade Liberalisation on Bangladesh Agriculture

WORKING PAPERS

Domestic Preparedness for
Services Trade Liberalisation

Are South Asian countries prepared for further liberalisation?

 
 

Trade, Poverty Reduction and the Integrated Framework
Are we asking the right people the right questions?

 
 

World Food Price Increase
Where Does the Buck Stop?

BRIEFING PAPERS

Is the Stage set for Mainstreaming Trade into
National Development Strategy of India?

 
 

Do India’s AEZs Need a Fresh Start?

 
 

SAARC and BIMSTEC
Understanding their Experience in Regional Cooperation

MISCELLANEOUS

CUTS CITEE Weekly Bulletin
July 27-August 02, 2008

Previous Issues>>

 
 

Dossier on Preferential Trade Agreements
July 2008

Previous Issues...

 
 
IN MEDIA – MARCH 2007

 In Media Archive...


Too important to leave aside
Financial Express, India, March 31, 2007
 

The country needs to regain the momentum of political will on SEZs

By Pradeep S Mehta

Special economic zones (SEZs) have raised a huge controversy in the country. Alas, one would miss the wood for the trees, if one doesn’t look at the political economy and the challenges it will continue to raise in our distorted discourse. According to critics, SEZs would create a pro-business industrial environment in the country which may not be very good for fostering economic democracy. While SEZs are indeed pro-business, such a (pro-business economic) policy is not new in India. The country has vigorously pursued a pro-business policy, and this has already seen a significant reduction in poverty. In an article in this newspaper on December 14, 2006 (‘Broad benefits of special economic zones’), I argued that the real question is not whether we can afford to have SEZs, but whether we can afford not to.

Before getting into any analyses of the political economy, let me examine two important questions and that will help understand the present situation. First, will large-scale formation of SEZs in India lead to special enclave-led growth? Second, is such enclave-led growth good or bad for our economy and people?

There are no easy answers to these questions, which will depend on local factors, among many other things. At best, one can do some case studies to draw some lessons, but generalisations are not possible. An answer to the first question can be found by looking at the performance and impact of existing export processing zones (which are similar to SEZs) in India. The first export processing zone in India was developed in Kandla, Gujarat, in the mid-1960s, and along with many others, the multiplier effects have been great.

To find an answer to both questions, let’s look at the Unctad’s 2004 LDC Report with the theme of ‘Linking International Trade with Poverty Reduction’ and draw lessons from various case studies cited there. The report has suggested five post-liberal development strategies for poor countries. The first of them is called “balanced growth based on agricultural productivity growth and export-accelerated industrialisation”. Unctad advocates that for sustained growth and substantial poverty reduction to occur under this strategy, six domestic conditions have to be put in place. Without going into the details of these conditions, one can see that there is a remarkable similarity with them in contemporary India, which is still predominantly agrarian. It has a small industrial sector. India has surplus labour in rural areas owing to large labour supply in relation to the available land.

 

Besides technological advancement, Indian agriculture badly needs some drastic institutional and organisational changes, which are not happening because the agriculture lobby is politically very strong and has a vested interest in its lack of progress

 

Looking at these conditions, it appears that the central and various state governments have taken the right decision to encourage the setting up of SEZs and this policy is consistent with the National Foreign Trade Policy of India, 2004-09. Let me highlight three most important conditions in the Indian context. The first condition is that agricultural productivity must rise at a rate sufficient for the production and marketing of food to be able to feed the entire population. This requires continuous technological progress in agriculture, and institutional and organisational changes, including land reforms.

Second, the growth rate of industrial labour force must be faster than the growth rate of the total labour force. Over the last couple of decades, industrial employment in India remained stagnant and in order to change this situation, we need both large-scale capital accumulation and a labour bias in innovation. The policy of developing a large number of SEZs meets both these conditions.

Third, a right balance must be struck in inter-sectoral labour markets. The number of new employment opportunities created in industry must be in step with the number of persons released from agriculture.

If the above is true, then why there is this huge controversy over this new wave of SEZs in India? The first reason for this controversy is that a large number of actors look at this situation as a milch cow to seek rents. Second, besides technological advancement, Indian agriculture badly needs some drastic institutional and organisational changes, which are not happening because the agriculture lobby is politically very strong and has a vested interest in its lack of progress. Indian agriculture is currently faced with many vices, which include absentee landlordism and subsistence farming coupled with land fragmentation. Third, small landholders (including landless farmers and agricultural workers) do not see any alternative employment available to them—for want of skills and also due to the overall industrial environment in the country in terms of employment generation.

Given this political economy, what is the way out of the present impasse? The Union and state governments should take a series of specific policy measures to increase agricultural productivity and manufacturing employment simultaneously. But results from such measures will take a longer time to take effect, I estimate. The fact is that huge political will is required for India to become a developed country (not poor, if at the same time not exactly rich) by 2020. Given the nature of our democratic set-up, this will be a risk, but there will be huge returns too—in economic terms as well as politically.

The author is Secretary General, CUTS International, a leading research, advocacy and networking group and can be reached at psm@cuts.org

This article can also be viewed at: http://www.financialexpress.com/

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Bengal violence may delay SEZs, investors get restless
Indian Express, March 15, 2007

By Shishir Gupta / Vikas Dhoot

The political fallout of the violence at Nandigram today may stop further notifications of Special Economic Zones well beyond the UP elections.

Though several state chief ministers including DMK’s Karunanidhi and Congress’s Y S Rajasekhara Reddy have written to Prime Minister Manmohan Singh and the chairman of the empowered Group of Ministers on SEZs, Pranab Mukherjee, to lift the freeze on SEZ approvals as investors are getting edgy, a senior government official told The Indian Express today that the ministers’ group may not even meet till the UP elections are over. So lifting the freeze on SEZs seems out of the question till then, he said.

The West Bengal violence comes at a time when the Commerce Ministry had allayed the concerns of the Congress party by briefing at least two former chief ministers as a precursor to the expected meeting of the Empowered Group of Ministers (EGoM) this month to lift the January 23 suspension on SEZ notifications. As of now, only 63 out of a total 235 approved SEZ that are not facing any land acquisition issues have been notified by the UPA government.

Government sources said that even as the UPA government tarries on the notifications, footwear multinational Nike, which has a cleared SEZ plan in Tamil Nadu, has indicated that it would walk out of India as it has commercial commitments to meet next year. Nike has plans to invest $300 million into the SEZ in and has even ordered machinery for the project.

More big-ticket investors are in the process of pulling the plug on their SEZ plans. Apart from Nike, US-based Velankani Communications Tech, which intended to set up a $600 million IT SEZ in Tamil Nadu, is one of them. Nike and Velankani alone were expected to employ over 40,000 workers in the state.

Now, DMK supremo M Karunanidhi is likely to visit New Delhi soon to meet Congress president Sonia Gandhi, in a last-ditch attempt to prevent investors’ flight from the state. His strongly-worded letter to the PM a few weeks back had failed to break the impasse.

In Andhra Pradesh, Brandix Apparels, which has been awaiting the notification of its textile SEZ to start operations, is now considering retrenching the 600-odd women workers it trained and employed. “They are not here for charity. If their commercial operations are not starting, they can’t keep employees on their rolls indefinitely,” the government official said.

Commerce Ministry officials too seem to have given up hope of a resolution of the current stalemate at least till the UP elections conclude. Till then, they are bracing for a sharp dip in investor enthusiasm for SEZs. “We expect a 25 per cent drop from the existing investment plans for SEZs,” an official said.

The fact is that killing of 11 people in the police firing in Nandigram could not have come at a worse time. Last week, the Commerce Ministry briefed former Madhya Pradesh Chief Minister Digvijay Singh and former Karnataka Chief Minister Veerappa Moily on the entire SEZ policy of the UPA government in a bid to address all the concerns of the High Command. The two former CMs were given detailed clarifications on the following issues:

  • SEZ impact on domestic industry (Ministry said that this is one of the many earlier schemes like EOU)

  • Tax losses to the Indian economy (Ministry said two studies ICRIER by Finance Ministry and CUTS International by Commerce Ministry had been commissioned to study this)

  • Ceiling of the maximum size of multi-product SEZs (already under consideration of the EGoM)

  • Land acquisition problems

Sources said the original plan was that the two former CMs would then report back to the High Command and Pranab Mukherjee. This would then be followed by summoning of EGOM on March 21 before the present Budget session goes into recess.

However, the police action at Nandigram has taken the wind out of this exercise and will force the Congress leadership to keep the SEZ notifications into cold storage till the UP elections are over.

It is another matter that the SEZs were expected to provide 15 lakh additional jobs and get an investment of over Rs 58,000 crore before the 2009 general elections.

This article can also be viewed at: http://www.indianexpress.com/

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India to notify LDC’s tariff sops package before June
Financial Express, March 14, 2007

India on Tuesday said it would work out a comprehensive trade package to least developed countries (LDC) in the next two months. This is a part of India's unilateral trade preference (UTP) scheme to poor nations.

Commerce and industry minister Kamal Nath said that his ministry would forward the package to the Cabinet in two months after incorporating suggestions given by all the LDCs. The Centre would, subsequently notify this scheme.

Earlier in the day, the Trade and Economic Relations Committee (TERC) led by the Prime Minister Manmohan Singh discussed the UTP scheme for LDCs.

Dipak Patel, former Minister of Trade and Industry of Zambia, said at a seminar on Doha Round that India needs to move fast on the package for duty-free quota-free (DQFQ) access to the least developed countries (LDCs) as it is an important element of the Doha mandate and the Hong Kong declaration.

DQFQ concessions were sought from ‘‘advanced developing countries’’ at the Hong Kong Ministerial Conference in December 2005 when these issues were debated.

The rich countries agreed to extend this concession on 97 % of tariff lines, though that left a gap where products sensitive to rich economies such as textiles could be exempted.

This had come in for considerable criticism, and one of the spin-offs was that big developing countries like India, China and Brazil too should extend such preferential offers.

Brazil has already notified its DFQF scheme, while India and China have announced the intention but are yet to notify it.

Pradeep Mehta, secretary general of CUTS International, said, ‘‘The intent needs to be translated into action, and delays will only skew the southern solidarity in the WTO process’’.

As per the UN, the socio-economic development indicators and the human development index of the LDCs are the lowest in the world. Thirty four of these 50 countries are located in Sub-Saharan Africa, while 10 are in Asia. Worst conditions of poverty, wide-spread corruption, lack of a proper legal frame work and authoritarian form of government are the characteristics of these countries.

This news item can also be viewed at: http://www.financialexpress.com/

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Government, NGOs and the WTO — Some myths and realities
Business Line, March 12, 2007

In the context of a major international conference in Delhi organised by the Government in association with NGOs to deliberate upon the impasse over the Doha Round, a look at the Government-NGO engagement on WTO matters.

By Pradeep S Mehta

The multilateral trading system under the aegis of the World Trade Organisation (WTO) has come a long-way since this organisation was set up in 1995 following the conclusion of the Uruguay Round of talks under the General Agreement on Tariffs and Trade (GATT). One of the striking features of the WTO in its first decade of existence is its remarkable ability to attract the attention of non-governmental organisations.

According to WTO's definition, any entity other than a government is an NGO. This means the WTO considers organisations representing business and public interest on a par. Itis another matter that the business interest often receives more attention as far as international trade is concerned.

From barely a few NGOs (that too mostly from the rich world) participating in the WTO's first Ministerial in Singapore in 1996, hundreds attended the sixth in Hong Kong in 2005. The NGOs represent a range of interests: Business (including small business), consumer, environment and social issues.

There are several reasons for this growing interest among the NGOs on matters WTO. Till the Uruguay Round, international trade issues under the GATT system were mostly confined to those that were mainly of interest to rich countries.

For the first time, in the Uruguay Round, issues such as agriculture, textiles and clothing, services, investment, and intellectual property rights were brought under the ambit of the multilateral trading system.

These issues concern the lives of the common people, and thus NGOs started taking interest in the multilateral trading system. Even then it was a few NGOs of the rich countries, that were active.

The interest of developing country NGOs in WTO issues has started growing following the Singapore Ministerial. In 1996, the International Centre for Trade and Sustainable Development (ICTSD) was established in Geneva.

A joint initiative of Northern and Southern NGOs, its main mandate was to inform the larger civil society on what was happening in Geneva vis-a-vis the WTO and for more than a decade ICTSD has been doing this.

For a large number of NGOs from poor countries, and for governments, ICTSD's weekly and monthly bulletins are the major sources of information on WTO matters and thus, getting gradually empowered.

Though NGO interests in WTO matters have grown over the years, there are yet certain myths with regard to their positions, etc. This is not to say that NGO positions are homogenous on all or majority of issues (in fact, they are more often different), but it is usually perceived that all NGOs are opposed to the WTO. This is a myth.

A large number of NGOsare of centrist philosophy and do understand the virtues of a rule-based system, which is what the WTO is.

It is another matter that on many occasions several countries have violated WTO rules and in some cases, these were rectified through the WTO's dispute settlement mechanism. Many NGOs have taken active part in many of these disputes by voicing their concerns and in some cases by submitting amicus briefs.

It is another myth that the Seattle Ministerial collapsed due to NGOs marching in the streets. The reality was that Seattle was abandoned for two reasons: Irreconcilable differences between the EU and the US on further opening up agricultural trade (this continues to dominate the debate even today) and Washington's insistence on bringing in such contentious issues as labour standards into the WTO, which was resisted by the poor countries.

A second myth is that countries like India look at NGOs (even the domestic ones) with suspicion, as international agencies and governments of rich countries support them. True, developing country NGOs are mostly supported by donors from the Western world, but these organisations rarely follow the positions of the rich countries on WTO matters.

In many cases, their positions differ substantially with those of the rich countries (even with NGOs of the rich world) but it is true that NGOs often provide a platform where the rich and the poor countries reconcile their positions on specific issues; for instance, the TRIPs and public health accords.

And since the Singapore Ministerial, New Delhi has started engaging NGOs in WTO matters. Immediately after Singapore, an advisory committee was formed by the Commerce Ministry to help trade negotiators on WTO matters, which included two NGO representatives. At Cancun, the Commerce Minister addressed a gathering of NGOs and a similar event was organised in Hong Kong also.

Following Cancun and in the run-up to the Hong Kong ministerial, the Commerce Ministry regularly organised consultations with NGOs, and many of India's positions (particularly on agriculture) were based on such consultations.

This practice is being followed religiously. Clearly, countries like India have understood the importance of an "inclusive process" while taking positions on WTO matters and this is one way of mainstreaming international trade into our development strategy.

The author is Secretary General, CUTS International, a leading research, advocacy and networking group and can be reached at psm@cuts.org

This article can also be viewed at: http://www.thehindubusinessline.com/

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WTO and the myths about NGOs
Economic Times, March 12, 2007

By Pradeep S Mehta

One of the striking features of the WTO in its first decade of existence is its remarkable ability to attract attention from NGOs. According to WTO’s definition, any entity other than a government is a non-governmental organisation. This means that WTO considers organisations representing business interest and those representing public interest at par. It’s true business interest often receives more attention as far as international trade is concerned.

From barely a few NGOs (that too mostly from the rich world) participating in WTO’s first ministerial conference in Singapore in 1996, hundreds of NGOs have participated in the sixth one held in Hong Kong in 2005. They represent a variety of interests: business (including small business), consumers, environment and social issues.

There are several reasons for this growing interest among the NGO community in WTO matters. Till the Uruguay Round negotiations, which lasted from the late 1980s to early 1990s, international trade issues under the GATT system were mostly confined to those that were mainly of interest to rich countries. For the first time, in the Uruguay Round, issues such as agriculture, textiles & clothing, services, investment and IPRs were brought under the ambit of the multilateral trading system.

These issues concern the lives of the common people and thus NGOs have started taking interest in the multilateral trading system. Even then it was a few NGOs in rich countries, which were active in the field. I remember taking part in the Hong Kong Congress of the then International Organisation of Consumer Unions (now Consumers International) in 1991 where the famous Dunkel draft on the Uruguay Round was discussed heatedly. Unfortunately, many of us from the South were unable to understand what was going on.

Interest of NGOs from developing countries in WTO issues have grown following the Singapore ministerial conference. In 1996, the International Centre for Trade and Sustainable Development (ICTSD) was established in Geneva.

It was a joint initiative of Northern and Southern NGOs, of which CUTS was one of them. Its main mandate was to inform the larger civil society on what was happening in Geneva with regard to the WTO. CUTS also played its bit in its endeavour to develop the capacity of Southern NGOs (particularly from South Asia and eastern and southern Africa) through training and other means.

Even though NGOs’ interest in WTO matters has grown over the years, there are yet certain myths with regard to their positions, etc. Often it is perceived that all NGOs are opposed to the WTO. This is a myth. There are a large number of NGOs, which are centrist in their philosophy and do understand the virtues of a rules-based system that the WTO is.

It’s another matter that on many occasions several countries have violated WTO rules and in some cases, they were rectified through the WTO’s dispute settlement mechanism. Many NGOs have taken active part in many of these disputes by voicing their concerns and in some cases by submitting amicus briefs.

It is again a myth that the Seattle ministerial conference of the WTO collapsed due to NGOs marching in the streets. The reality was that Seattle was abandoned due to two reasons: irreconcilable differences between EU and US on further opening up of agricultural trade (which continue to dominate the debate even today) and the US insistence on bringing in contentious issues such as labour standards into the WTO, which was resisted by the poor countries.

Another myth is that countries like India look at NGOs suspiciously, as mostly international agencies and governments of rich countries support them. There is little truth in this allegation. It is true that developing country NGOs are mostly supported by donors from the western world, but there is no way that they tow the positions of the rich countries on WTO matters. In many cases, their positions differ substantially with those of rich countries (even with NGOs of the rich world) but it is also true that NGOs often provide a vehicle through which the rich and the poor countries reconcile their positions on specific issues, of which the TRIPs and public health accord is one.

Since the Singapore ministerial conference, the Indian government has started engaging NGOs in its activities on WTO matters. Immediately after Singapore, an advisory committee was formed by the ministry to help our trade negotiators, which included two NGO representatives. Both at Cancun and Hong Kong, the Indian commerce minister addressed a gathering of NGOs.

Following Cancun and in the run-up to the Hong Kong ministerial, the department of commerce regularly organised consultations with NGOs and many of India’s positions (particularly on agriculture) were based on such consultations and this practice is being followed religiously. The truth is that countries like India have understood the importance of an “inclusive process” while taking positions at the WTO.

The author is Secretary General, CUTS International, a leading research, advocacy and networking group and can be reached at psm@cuts.org

This article can also be viewed at: http://economictimes.indiatimes.com/

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Rights obstacle to EU-India trade pact
Financial Times, March 05, 2007

By Jo Johnson

Indian objections to the inclusion of a standard “human rights and democracy” clause in a proposed free trade agreement with the European Union have emerged as a serious stumbling block, the Financial Times has learnt.

The row is a setback for the ambitious agenda set at the EU-India summit in Helsinki in October last year, when both sides pledged to deepen economic and political ties.

“This clause would, of course, be a deal-breaker,” Kamal Nath, India’s commerce minister, said in an interview.

“This is meant to be a ­specifically targeted trade and investment agreement, which it will not be if other elements come into it.”

Since a 1995 EU Council decision by member states, the European Commission has systematically included a so-called “essential elements” clause in bilateral trade and co-operation agreements. It now applies to agreements with more than 120 countries.

However, the Commission has triggered an intense debate among the EU’s member states by pushing for an apparent exception for India, on the grounds that a 1994 EU-India co-operation agreement covers human rights questions.

Peter Power, spokesman for Peter Mandelson, EU trade commissioner, said: “Given how much both countries can get out of it, we feel we should forge ahead on the basis of strict economic criteria, leaving more political considerations for other agreements.”

Commission officials privately acknowledged that the outcome of the debate in the EU Council was “too difficult to predict”.

One said: “The council is going through the detail of the agreement at the moment. We are not out of the woods.”

Bilateral trade in goods between India and the EU amounted to $40bn in 2006 and trade in services a further $8bn. Both sides say they want a “deep and comprehensive” agreement that goes beyond multilateral commitments and is not trade-diverting.

New Delhi argues that the “essential elements” clause conflicts with India’s longstanding position that economic agreements should not be “contaminated” by political riders.

“India suspects that such clauses provide protectionist cover,” said Pradeep S. Mehta, of Consumer Unity & Trust Society, an Indian trade think-tank.

“Because of its economic performance, India is now more self-confident about when it will give ground and when it will not give ground.”

Mr Nath said: “This is a win-win deal for both sides and the EU must evaluate how much it has to gain from this agreement. It’s up to the EU to work out how it wants to proceed.”

India is a member of the United Nations Human Rights Council, but ranks low, according to the Asian Human Rights Commission, among the international community in terms of the ratification of international conventions and covenants.

Although it has signed the UN Convention against Torture, for example, it has resisted ratifying it on the grounds that domestic mechanisms within the country are capable of addressing the issue.

India is keen to launch an FTA with the EU as soon as possible. Manmohan Singh, prime minister, regards it as a low-key way of keeping the reforms process moving forward at a time when there is no consensus for more overt liberalisation.

This news item can also be viewed at: http://www.ft.com/

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